Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd

Stage 4 · Declining · week 31

As of 9 Oct 2026, Rail Vikas Nigam is in Stage 4 — declining, a downtrend, in week 31 (since 5 Mar 2026). It closed at ₹191, 50.7% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is falling. In Financials, 22.0% of stocks are in Stage 2.

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in rail infrastructure works in India and internationally. More about the company

₹190.7
+1.84% today
₹39,751 Cr · Large cap
Market Neutral — FadingFinancials 22.0% in Stage 2-11.7 pts / 20dSpecialized Finance 31.6%-5.3 pts

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining — below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

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Is RVNL early, or has it already run? Pro answers that for every NSE stock, after every close.

₹2,999 · 12 months₹1,999 · 6 months
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vs 52W High
-50.7%
₹187.2 lo₹386.7 hi
50.7% below 52W high — deep Stage 4 damage
In Stage 4, distance from the 52W high reflects ongoing decline — not a discount. Avoid catching falling knives.
Stage Maturity
Week 31
1w13w26w
Week 31 — extended decline
How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure — there's no 'bottom' time to buy.
vs 200 DMA
-28.4%
200 DMA: ₹266.3 · sloping down
In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200 DMA — the hallmark of a downtrend. No long positions warranted until this reverses structurally.
Rel Volume
0.83x
vs 50-day avg
High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low volume bounces are typical — they lack real buyers and should not be mistaken for reversals.
Trend Health
↓
MA20 rolling over · -3.0% vs MA50 -4.6%
Two-layer momentum read: the glyph shows whether the 20-day MA is rising (↑/↗), flat (→), or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ flag fires when the 20-day MA is pulling away from the 50-day MA — short-term momentum building on top of the longer trend. Best when both glyphs agree.
1M
-8.1%
3M
-18.1%
6M
-30.7%
YTD
-44.1%
1Y
-44.5%
Sector
Financials
↓ Peaking
Stage 2%
22.0%
20d Δ
-11.7pp
1M return
-4.1%
3M return
-6.7%
Sector Stage-2 % · last 20 days
Sector has 55 Stage 2 leaders. See Financials Stage 2 →
Industry
Specialized Finance
↓ Peaking
Stage 2%
31.6%
20d Δ
-5.3pp
1M return
-8.3%
3M return
-14.4%
Industry Stage-2 % · last 20 days
Industry has 6 Stage 2 leaders. See Specialized Finance Stage 2 →
Stage Cycle Timeline2023-07-14 → 2026-10-09
S2 41w
S2 20w
S3 14w
S4 18w
S4 22w
S4 31w
2023-07-142026-10-09
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S2 41w → S3 3w → S2 20w → S3 14w → S4 18w → S1 11w → S4 22w → S1 8w → S4 31w current
Total tracked: 169 weeks across 9 stage runs.
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2024-05-15
Stocks that stay in the scan for 13+ weeks are in the highest observed-return cohort — they keep qualifying because the structure remains intact, not by luck. Persistence in the scan is itself a quality signal.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-09S4
Wk 31 · Vol 0.83x
2026-10-08S4
Wk 31 · Vol 1.13x
2026-10-07S4
Wk 31 · Vol 0.58x
2026-10-06S4
Wk 30 · Vol 0.65x
2026-10-05S4
Wk 30 · Vol 0.61x
2026-10-01S4
Wk 30 · Vol 1.31x
2026-09-30S4
Wk 30 · Vol 3.93x
2026-09-29S4
Wk 30 · Vol 1.66x
2026-09-28S4
Wk 29 · Vol 0.57x
2026-09-25S4
Wk 29 · Vol 0.54x
2026-09-24S4
Wk 29 · Vol 0.63x
2026-09-23S4
Wk 29 · Vol 0.64x
Sector Peers — Stage 2All →
SMCGLOBAL
wk 10 · 0.0% from hi
9.4
GCSL
wk 15 · 0.0% from hi
8.4
ONELIFECAP
wk 1 · 0.0% from hi
8.2
ARIHANTCAP
wk 4 · -17.9% from hi
7.9
PAISALO
wk 26 · -13.4% from hi
7.5
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
₹213.7
200 DMA
₹266.3
52W High
₹386.7
52W Low
₹187.2
5D Low
₹187.2
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
₹214.3
60d High
₹235
120d High
₹308.7
250d High
₹386.7
Next resistance
+12.4%
to 20d High
Ask the Market AI about RVNLAsk →
P/E (TTM)
59.9
Forward 41.0
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-59.1%
Revenue +4.2%
ROE
+9.0%
Profit margin +4.3%
Dividend Yield
1.05%
P/B 5.5
About this companyFinancials· Specialized Finance

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in rail infrastructure works in India and internationally. The company undertakes rail project development and implementation, as well as provides financial resources mobilization services. It also executes various railway projects, including new lines, doubling, gauge conversion, railway electrification, workshops, bridge work, mega and monumental bridges, metro and metropolitan transport projects, new lines, hilly railway projects, construction of cable stayed bridges, institutional buildings, track renewal, training institutes, railway and other safety works, traffic facilities, and road over bridges, etc. In addition, the company engages in civil engineering; equipment and engine; installation of solar energy systems, and electricity transmission and control apparatus; installation and maintenance of underwater telecommunications and power cables; contracting of electrical fittings, ports and marine construction, dams, and tunnels; business planning and implementation; consulting; construction of rail links, subways, irrigation systems, canals, water main storage towers, transmission lines, and feeder bays; installation, maintenance, and repair of solar energy collectors; and operation and maintenance of railway facilities. It serves Indian Railways, various central and state government ministries, departments, and public sector undertakings. Rail Vikas Nigam Limited was incorporated in 2003 and is based in New Delhi, India.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-09. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.