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Nifty at a 30-session low, breadth still fraying

New lows swamp new highs, Stage-2 share hits a fresh floor, Energy is the odd one out

Tuesday, 29 September 20262 min readStage2Stocks Market Desk

Nifty 50
22,716
-0.3% on the day
Market
Neutral — Fading
20 sessions in this state
Breadth
37%
above 200-DMA · narrow
Adv / Dec
1,021 / 1,459
decliners ahead
52w highs / lows
121 / 285
net -164
Stage-2 share
30%
cohort narrowing

Nifty closed today at its lowest level in the past thirty sessions, down for the second day out of the last three big moves. The screen's regime label has now read neutral-to-down for twenty straight sessions, and today gave no reason to change that. Fifty-two-week lows hit 285 stocks, a fresh high for the window, against just 121 new highs — new lows outnumbering new highs by 164. The Stage-2 share of the universe, the pool this screener hunts in, slipped to 30.3%, its lowest reading of the past month. Median setup score is at its softest too. None of this is a crash signal on its own, but the trend of the last four weeks is unmistakably down, not sideways.

Breadth keeps eroding, not just the index

Only three sectors closed higher today — Health Care, Industrials and Utilities, all up less than half a percent — with Communication Services flat and the other seven red, Real Estate worst at down 1.6%. That is a thin, defensive tilt, not a rotation into strength. Under the hood it is worse: the five-day net flow of stocks moving up the stages into Stage 2 versus sliding down out of it has been negative for twenty-four straight sessions, and today's reading of minus 40 is well into the bottom half of the last month's range. Fewer than 30% of stocks sit above their 20-day average and under 37% are above their 200-day line. This is a tape being sold into, session after session, even on the days Nifty manages a green candle.

Energy is the one sector building, not breaking

Set against that backdrop, Energy stands out. It has the highest share of stocks in Stage 2 of any sector, at 55%, and that share has risen nearly 14 points over the past month — the only sector moving that direction while every other one bleeds Stage-2 names. Energy's month-on-month return is still negative, so this isn't a price story yet, but the internal shift — more names quietly building bases and turning up — is worth tracking rather than chasing. Elsewhere the highest relative-strength sectors remain Health Care and Industrials, both also home to the day's few gainers, while Information Technology sits at the bottom on relative strength with a one-month return down over 9%, the softest of any sector.

What the screen is surfacing today

The early-stage names still worth a look without having missed the move include Sree Rayalaseema Hi-Strength Hypo, Andhra Paper and Wockhardt, all Stage-2 setups that haven't run far from their 50-day average yet. On the other end, names like Spectrum Electrical Industries, Raymond and Kopran carry the highest setup scores in the screen precisely because their trends are the most extended — useful as a read on what's leading, not as fresh entries. In a tape where breadth is still falling and the Stage-2 pool itself is shrinking, treat every new setup with more scepticism than usual; the base rate for follow-through is weaker when the market internals are heading this way.

Leading Stage-2 setups
StockSectorSetup% 1D
Sree Rayalaseema Hi-Strength Hypo LtdMaterials8.3+1.0%
Asian Hotels (North) LtdConsumer Discretionary8.2-2.9%
Andhra Paper LtdMaterials7.9-0.4%
Wockhardt LtdHealth Care7.9+0.3%
SoftTech Engineers LtdInformation Technology7.8+1.6%
Strides Pharma Science LtdHealth Care7.8+1.8%
Maharashtra Seamless LtdIndustrials7.7+1.0%
Bhartiya International LtdConsumer Discretionary7.6-0.0%
Sector performance — cap-weighted, ranked by today’s move
Sector1D1M3MRSStage 2
Health Care+0.5%-0.3%+7.1%7346%
Industrials+0.3%-4.2%-2.9%6526%
Utilities+0.1%-4.1%-11.0%5513%
Communication Services+0.0%-5.3%+0.8%5823%
Materials-0.5%-4.4%+0.3%6437%
Financials-0.7%-6.5%-6.8%5627%
Consumer Discretionary-0.8%-4.7%+2.9%5931%
Consumer Staples-1.0%-4.2%-7.5%4732%
Energy-1.0%-5.6%-5.5%5655%
Information Technology-1.2%-9.2%+4.8%4424%
Real Estate-1.6%-6.4%-0.0%5318%
Share of NSE stocks in Stage 2Apr 2026 – Sep 2026 · weekly
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%Jul 26Nifty 50Stocks in Stage 2Latest: 31%
The share of NSE stocks in Stage 2 over the six months to this wrap, with the Nifty's shape above it — the market underneath the day's numbers. Source: Stage2Stocks classification of every NSE stock with enough history, each week.
Try it on Stage2StocksHow to read this chart Lesson 3 of the course: why the Nifty isn't the market, and what the share of stocks in Stage 2 tells you.

Work the same data live: open the full stock screener, watch the live market dashboard, or check the market-timing read. New to the method? Start with the four stages.

Stage2Stocks is an educational stage-analysis screener. These wraps describe what the screen shows across NSE cash equities — they are not investment advice, recommendations, or buy/sell calls. Always do your own research.

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