NTPC Ltd

Stage 4 · Declining · week 10

As of 9 Oct 2026, NTPC is in Stage 4 — declining, a downtrend, in week 10 (since 5 Aug 2026). It closed at ₹312, 23.9% below its 52-week high and below its 200-day average, which is rising. In Utilities, 11.3% of stocks are in Stage 2.

NTPC Limited operates as an integrated power company in India. More about the company

₹312
+0.74% today
₹3.03L Cr · Large cap
Market Neutral — FadingUtilities 11.3% in Stage 2-8.1 pts / 20dPower Generation 8.3%0.0 pts

Pro read

Pro

Our read

Declining — below its long-term trend

Setup score

—

Momentum

Steady

Edge

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Is NTPC early, or has it already run? Pro answers that for every NSE stock, after every close.

₹2,999 · 12 months₹1,999 · 6 months
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vs 52W High
-23.9%
₹309.7 lo₹410.2 hi
23.9% below 52W high — ongoing decline
In Stage 4, distance from the 52W high reflects ongoing decline — not a discount. Avoid catching falling knives.
Stage Maturity
Week 10
1w13w26w
Week 10 — established downtrend
How long this stock has been in Stage 4 decline. The longer the downtrend, the more entrenched the selling pressure — there's no 'bottom' time to buy.
vs 200 DMA
-12.6%
200 DMA: ₹356.9 · rising
In Stage 4, the stock is below its 200 DMA — the hallmark of a downtrend. No long positions warranted until this reverses structurally.
Rel Volume
0.89x
vs 50-day avg
High volume on down days in Stage 4 confirms institutional selling. Low volume bounces are typical — they lack real buyers and should not be mistaken for reversals.
Trend Health
↓
MA20 rolling over · -1.8% vs MA50 -2.9%
Two-layer momentum read: the glyph shows whether the 20-day MA is rising (↑/↗), flat (→), or rolling over (↓). The ⇈ flag fires when the 20-day MA is pulling away from the 50-day MA — short-term momentum building on top of the longer trend. Best when both glyphs agree.
1M
-5.7%
3M
-9.4%
6M
-16.6%
YTD
-2.8%
1Y
-6.8%
Sector
Utilities
↓ Peaking
Stage 2%
11.3%
20d Δ
-8.1pp
1M return
-6.1%
3M return
-12.7%
Sector Stage-2 % · last 20 days
Sector has 7 Stage 2 leaders. See Utilities Stage 2 →
Industry
Power Generation
→ Flat
Stage 2%
8.3%
20d Δ
+0.0pp
1M return
-7.5%
3M return
-12.5%
Industry Stage-2 % · last 20 days
Industry has 1 Stage 2 leader. See Power Generation Stage 2 →
Stage Cycle Timeline2023-07-14 → 2026-10-09
S2 71w
S2 19w
2023-07-142026-10-09
S1S2S3S4Setup score (0–10, dashed line at 5)
S2 71w → S3 6w → S4 12w → S1 12w → S4 13w → S3 4w → S2 7w → S4 6w → S1 2w → S2 19w → S3 7w → S4 9w current
Total tracked: 169 weeks across 12 stage runs.
Scan Membership
Breakout Watch
Latest: 2026-02-03
2 appearances in last 60 days. First seen: 2025-10-17.
Stocks that stay in the scan for 13+ weeks are in the highest observed-return cohort — they keep qualifying because the structure remains intact, not by luck. Persistence in the scan is itself a quality signal.
Recent Stage Timeline
2026-10-09S4
Wk 10 · Vol 0.89x
2026-10-08S4
Wk 9 · Vol 1.48x
2026-10-07S4
Wk 9 · Vol 0.75x
2026-10-06S4
Wk 9 · Vol 0.87x
2026-10-05S4
Wk 9 · Vol 1.13x
2026-10-01S4
Wk 9 · Vol 1.22x
2026-09-30S4
Wk 8 · Vol 0.83x
2026-09-29S4
Wk 8 · Vol 1.43x
2026-09-28S4
Wk 8 · Vol 0.71x
2026-09-25S4
Wk 8 · Vol 0.71x
2026-09-24S4
Wk 8 · Vol 0.89x
2026-09-23S4
Wk 7 · Vol 1.23x
Sector Peers — Stage 2All →
QPOWER
wk 8 · -6.1% from hi
7.0
GIPCL
wk 15 · -19.9% from hi
4.9
KPIL
wk 19 · -4.6% from hi
4.8
UEL
wk 9 · -21.3% from hi
4.6
SKIPPER
wk 18 · -12.3% from hi
3.9
Moving averages & range
50 DMA
₹332.2
200 DMA
₹356.9
52W High
₹410.2
52W Low
₹309.7
5D Low
₹309.7
Resistance levels (recent highs)
20d High
₹335
60d High
₹350.9
120d High
₹410.2
250d High
₹410.2
Next resistance
+7.4%
to 20d High
Ask the Market AI about NTPCAsk →
P/E (TTM)
13.1
Forward 14.1
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.6%
Revenue +8.0%
ROE
+13.7%
Profit margin +14.4%
Dividend Yield
2.91%
P/B 1.9
About this companyUtilities· Power Generation

NTPC Limited operates as an integrated power company in India. It operates through two segments: Generation and Others. The company generates power from fossil fuels, hydro, solar, wind, nuclear, and renewable energy sources. It also engages in the coal mining and energy trading business. NTPC Limited was incorporated in 1975 and is based in New Delhi, India.

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All analytics based on EOD data. Data as of 2026-10-09. Past data patterns are not indicative of future results. This page is a data analytics tool only.